Tesla releases Optimus by Dec 31
Quiet market
Hardly anyone trades this market right now, so these are its last numbers from Nov 2. The page comes back to life once the bets do.
Chance the answer is yes4% ▲ 0.6
24h volume$1k
The market puts the chance at 4%. Down 7 points in a week.
How the chance moved
Before Nov 2 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.
Big questions
Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.