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S&P 500 beats bitcoin, gold and the S&P 500 in 2026

Live
Open on Polymarket ↗
Chance it happens85% ▲ 1.0
24h volume$4k

The market puts the chance at 85%. Up 12 points in a week.

How the chance moved

Before Nov 4 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.

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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .

Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.