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Fed: rate decision, Dec 9

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The market expects a 0.25% hike: 78%. Resolves Dec 9.

Standings now

Fed rateChance24h
+0.25%78%▲ 3.0
No change22%▼ 1.0
24h volume: $1.4MResolves Dec 9

How the odds moved

Before Nov 4 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.

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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .

Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.