US unemployment for October comes in at 4.2%
Live
Chance it happens44%
24h volume$1k
The market puts the chance at 44%. Up 3 points in a week.
How the chance moved
Before Nov 4 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.
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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .
Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.