Gemini Carbon
GoogleLive
Expected date≈Nov 10
By Nov 3095% ▼ 0.5
24h volume$56k
The market expects Gemini Carbon around Nov 10. The chance by Nov 30 is 95%.
Chance of release by date
Every date
| Date | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | 2% | ▲ 1.0 |
| Nov 3 | 4% | |
| Nov 4 | 4% | ▼ 0.6 |
| Nov 5 | 5% | |
| Nov 6 | 6% | ▼ 4.1 |
| Nov 7 | 7% | |
| Nov 8 | 10% | |
| Nov 9 | 21% | ▲ 2.5 |
| Nov 10 | 48% | |
| Nov 11 | 67% | ▲ 6.5 |
| Nov 12 | 76% | |
| Nov 13 | 77% | ▲ 2.0 |
| Nov 14 | 80% | |
| Nov 15 | 80% | ▲ 0.5 |
| Nov 16 | 84% | |
| Nov 17 | 87% | |
| Nov 18 | 88% | |
| Nov 19 | 88% | |
| Nov 20 | 91% | |
| Nov 21 | 92% | |
| Nov 22 | 93% | |
| Nov 23 | 94% | |
| Nov 24 | 95% | |
| Nov 25 | 95% | |
| Nov 26 | 95% | |
| Nov 27 | 95% | |
| Nov 28 | 95% | |
| Nov 29 | 95% | |
| Nov 30 | 95% | ▼ 0.5 |
| Dec 6 | 99% | |
| Dec 13 | 99% | |
| Dec 20 | 99% | |
| Dec 27 | 99% | |
| Dec 31 | 99% | ▼ 0.5 |
| Jan 3, 2027 | >99% |
How the expected date moved
Before Nov 2 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.
More from Google
The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .
Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.