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ECB: rate decision, December

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The market expects a 0.25% hike: 89%. Resolves Dec 17.

Standings now

Fed rateChance24h
+0.25%89%▲ 4.0
No change12%▼ 1.5
24h volume: $4kResolves Dec 17

How the odds moved

Before Nov 4 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.

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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .

Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.