Fed rate at the end of 2026
Live
The market leans to 4.25%: 76%. Resolves Dec 31.
Standings now
| Fed rate | Chance | 24h | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25% | 76% | ▲ 4.2 | |
| 4.0% | 20% | ▼ 3.4 | |
| ≥ 4.5% | 2% | ▼ 2.8 |
24h volume: $4kResolves Dec 31
How the odds moved
Before Nov 4 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.
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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .
Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.