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Reserve Bank of NZ: rate decision, December

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The market expects a 0.25% hike: 71%. Resolves Dec 8.

Standings now

Fed rateChance24h
+0.25%71%▼ 0.5
No change24%▲ 4.0
+0.5% or more3%0
-0.25%1%0
24h volume: $1kResolves Dec 8

How the odds moved

Before Nov 4 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.

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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .

Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.