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Claude 6

AnthropicLive
Open on Polymarket ↗
Expected date≈May 7, 2027
24h volume$153

The market expects Claude 6 around May 7, 2027. The chance by Jun 30, 2027 is 73%. Over the week the expected date moved 4 days later.

Chance of release by date

Every date

DateChance24h
Mar 31, 202735%
Jun 30, 202773%▲ 1.0
Dec 31, 202789%▼ 0.5

How the expected date moved

Before Nov 2 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.

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Expected date≈Nov 10
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Expected date≈Nov 6
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By Nov 30: 95%▲ 10in 24h

Claude Sonnet 5.6+

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Chance by Jan 31, 202769%
50%
No other dates on the market yet

The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .

Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.