Claude Opus 5.6+
AnthropicLive
Expected date≈Nov 6
By Nov 3095% ▲ 10
24h volume$5k
The market expects Claude Opus 5.6+ around Nov 6. The chance by Nov 30 is 95%.
Chance of release by date
Every date
| Date | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | 3% | |
| Nov 4 | 5% | |
| Nov 5 | 24% | |
| Nov 6 | 32% | |
| Nov 7 | 57% | |
| Nov 8 | 62% | |
| Nov 9 | 67% | |
| Nov 10 | 71% | |
| Nov 11 | 74% | |
| Nov 12 | 80% | |
| Nov 13 | 82% | |
| Nov 14 | 87% | |
| Nov 15 | 91% | |
| Nov 16 | 94% | |
| Nov 17 | 95% | |
| Nov 18 | 95% | |
| Nov 19 | 95% | |
| Nov 20 | 95% | |
| Nov 21 | 95% | |
| Nov 22 | 95% | |
| Nov 23 | 95% | |
| Nov 24 | 95% | |
| Nov 25 | 95% | |
| Nov 26 | 95% | |
| Nov 27 | 95% | |
| Nov 28 | 95% | |
| Nov 29 | 95% | |
| Nov 30 | 95% | ▲ 10 |
| Dec 31 | 95% | ▲ 2.5 |
How the expected date moved
Before Nov 2 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.
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The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .
Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.