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GLM 5.4+

Z.aiLive
Open on Polymarket ↗
Chance by Nov 3063%
24h volume$1

The market leans towards GLM 5.4+ coming out by Nov 30: 63%.

Chance of release by date

Every date

DateChance24h
Nov 3063%▼ 1.0
Dec 3186%▼ 1.0

How the chance by Dec 31 moved

Before Nov 2 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.

Other models

Gemini Carbon

Google
By Nov 30: >99%
Expected date≈Nov 9
50%
By Nov 11: 73%▲ 3.5in 24h

GPT Astra 6.1+

OpenAI
By Nov 30: 91%
Expected date≈Nov 6
50%
By Nov 15: 76%▲ 5.5in 24h

Fable 5.2+

Anthropic
By Nov 30: 92%
Expected date≈Nov 10
50%
By Nov 12: 65%▲ 7.5in 24h

The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .

Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.