
Grok 5
xAILive
Chance by Dec 3117%
By Nov 302% 0
24h volume$428
The market isn't convinced Grok 5 is coming soon. The chance by Nov 30 is 2%.
Chance of release by date
Every date
| Date | Chance | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30 | 2% | 0 |
| Dec 31 | 17% | ▼ 5.0 |
How the chance by Dec 31 moved
Before Nov 2 the line is rebuilt from Polymarket's price history.
Other models
The odds refresh on their own every 5 minutes, last at .
Not financial advice and not a nudge to bet. Markets where hardly anyone trades are hidden: a single trade can move their price.

